Research

Research by Elvis Kwame Ofori on agricultural transition, climate policy, land use, spatial modelling, farm-level economics and behavioural microsimulation.

My research asks a distributional question:

When governments set national agricultural, climate and land-use targets, which farms, production systems and places actually carry the adjustment?

I use spatial, economic and behavioural modelling to connect national pathways with the local realities through which they must be implemented. The modelling programme this work sits within, and how it bears on what I write, is described on the research context page.

Current work

GOBLIN-Spatial
When Ireland’s national land-use pathway says livestock numbers fall and land changes use, where in the country does that happen, and does everything the plan asks of the land actually fit?

BioLand-US
Models say where the United States could grow perennial energy crops. BioLand-US asks how much of that land is suitable and how much farmers would actually sign up through voluntary contracts.

IFT-BioSim
The same national target costs different farms very different amounts. IFT-BioSim models those costs farm by farm, and tests whether different support designs change who bears them.

The projects page collects all three in one place.

Methods

My work uses econometrics, spatial modelling, optimisation, synthetic populations and microsimulation, implemented mainly in Python, R, Stata, GIS and SQL.

Earlier publications

These papers come from my work before the current PhD, mainly on sustainability, energy and development. Working papers from my doctoral research will be added here as they become public.

  • Prospect of trade and innovation in renewable energy deployment: A comparative analysis between BRICS and MINT Countries. Renewable Energy (2024). DOI
  • Sustainable Development Goals in BRICS and G7 countries: Increasing accomplishments through policy synergies in four dimensions. Sustainable Development (2024). DOI
  • Synthesizing the role of technological innovation on sustainable development and climate action: Does governance play a role in sub-Saharan Africa? Environmental Development (2023). DOI
  • Exploring new antecedent metrics for safety performance in Ghana’s oil and gas industry using partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM). Resources Policy (2023). DOI
  • Impact of Covid-19 on environmental sustainability: A bibliometric analysis. Sustainable Development (2023). DOI
  • Taking stock of business strategy and environment (sustainable development): evidence of disparities in research efforts and knowledge gaps — a bibliometric review. Environmental Science and Pollution Research (2023). DOI

For the complete record, see Google Scholar or ORCID.

Code

Public and selected research repositories are available on GitHub.